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2013 NL East Predictions – All Star Break Update

July 15, 2013

It is almost time for the All-Star Game, which is a good time to review the predictions that I made at the beginning of the season.  It is also a good time to make some mid-season adjustments.  Let’s take a look at how I had the NL East finishing:

1   Nationals
2   Braves
3   Phillies
4   Mets
5   Marlins

I’m pretty happy with these predictions.  Even though the Braves are ahead of the Nationals at the moment, I think the Nats will win the division in the end.

1 Nationals – The expectations are high in the nation’s capital.  After winning 98 games last season, the Nats will have Stephen Strasburg and Bryce Harper for the full season.  Their starting pitchers are among the best in baseball and they have a solid young lineup.  They are built to be contenders for years to come.   The Nationals struggled early, but it looks like they are back to form.  I still think they will win the division.

2 Braves – The Braves lost Chipper Jones, but they picked up the Upton brothers.  They are coming off of a playoff season and are looking to repeat.  If there is a team outside of the NL Central that gets a wild card spot, it will be the Braves.  The Braves are doing well even though only half of the Upton brothers is performing the way they were counting on.  I don’t think they will keep up the pace they are on, but I do think they will give the Pirates a run for their money in the Wild Card race.

3 Phillies – The Phillies are starting to show their age.  Roy Halladay has lost some velocity, which may lead to opponents hitting a few more home runs off of him.  Offensively, they don’t look so bad, but that is not going to make up for their pitching and defense.  The Phillies are hovering right around .500 right now and that is probably going to be how they finish.

4 Mets – The only reason that the Mets will not finish last is that the Marlins are in their division.  David Wright is their bright spot this season.  Johan Santana will start the season on the DL and Shaun Marcum may join him before opening day.  This is going to be a long season for Mets fans.  The Mets are actually doing better than I had expected.  They may even challenge the Phillies for 3rd.  Matt Harvey has been a nice surprise for them.

5 Marlins – Trading Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle, Josh Johnson, and Emilio Bonifacio forced the Marlins into a rebuilding year.  It is a shame to see so many empty seats, but what do you expect from a team that continually gets rid of their best players?  No surprises here.  

The NL East is not what it once was, but the top three teams will be competitive.  The Nationals are arguably the best team in baseball, and the Braves and Phillies are going to win their share of games.  The Nats are not the best team in baseball at this point, but the top 3 teams are competitive.  

I’m going to stick with my original prediction for the NL East.  The Nationals are going to finish strong and the Braves will fade a little bit.  I still thing the Braves are going to miss the playoffs, but it will come down to the last couple of games.  

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From → Baseball, MLB

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