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2013 AL East Predictions – All Star Break Update

July 15, 2013

It is almost time for the All-Star Game, which is a good time to review the predictions that I made at the beginning of the season.  It is also a good time to make some mid-season adjustments.  Let’s take a look at how I had the AL East finishing:

1   Blue Jays
2   Orioles
3   Rays
4   Red Sox
5   Yankees

Well, the Blue Jays are in last place and further out of first than any of my other first place picks.  The rest of the division is within 5.5 games and anything can happen.

Lets take a look at how I saw the AL East before the season:

1 Blue Jays – They had a very successful offseason.  They picked up  Jose Reyes, Josh Johnson and Mark Buehrle from the Marlins and signed NL Cy Young Award winner R.A. Dickey.  Considering the fact that they already had Jose Bautista, Edwin Encarnacion and Brandon Morrow, the Blue Jays should be the team to beat in the East.  They may be in last place, but they are only a couple of games under .500.  Look for them to work their way over .500, but it looks like I was wrong about them winning the division.

2 Orioles – The Orioles were the surprise team of the AL East last year, and there is no reason to believe that they will slip from how they finished.  Their pitching staff is coming back pretty much intact.  The only question is whether or not they can win the 1-run games like they did last year.  The Orioles are still playing good baseball, but they will need to overtake the Rays and Red Sox while holding off the Yankees. 

3 Rays – The Rays have one of the best pitching staffs in baseball, including AL Cy Young Award winner David Price, and they are going to need that pitching staff this season.  Other than Evan Longoria, their lineup does not seem to have a lot of run production.  But once again, the Rays will field a competitive team with a low budget.  The Rays are holding their own once again in a powerful AL East.

4 Red Sox – The Red Sox lost  Carl Crawford, Josh Beckett, and Adrian Gonzalez to the Dodgers.  This is going to be a rare rebuilding year for the BoSox.  The Red Sox have been playing great baseball this season, posting the best record in the AL.  So much for rebuilding.

5 Yankees – The Yankees are getting old and beat up.  Derek Jeter is coming off of a serious injury and Mark Teixeira, Alex Rodriguez, Curtis Granderson, and Michael Pineda are all out.  That being said, this is still the Yankees, so they cannot be counted out until game 162.  What can I say?  The Yankees are the Yankees.  Even with all of their injuries and the ARod scandal, the Yankees are putting together a solid season and will be playing for a playoff spot.

The AL East definitely looks like it has been turned upside down.  It is still a strong division, but there is a changing of the guard in progress.  It is a strong division, but the changing of the guard did not happen like I thought it would.

So how will the AL East look at the end of the season?  Maybe something like this:

1   Red Sox
2   Orioles
3   Yankees
4   Rays
5   Blue Jays

The Red Sox look like they are going to take the division.  The Orioles, Yankees, and Rays may only be separated by a game or two at the end.  And the Blue Jays will end up with one of the best records for a last place team.

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From → Baseball, MLB

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